War on Britain’s Roads?

When I heard about the BBC programme, The War on Britain’s Roads (5 Dec), I drafted an email to the commissioning exec saying I’d keep an open mind, but could they yet again be chasing sensation instead of questioning the system and presenting solutions (as I’ve been proposing on and off for over a decade)? I refrained from sending it, but coincidentally, today’s Guardian had a piece about reactions to a preview, accusing it of sensationalism and misrepresentation. I can’t find the article online (it’s entitled Drivers join cyclists to deride BBC’s ‘road war’), but this is a taster. As we know, the problem is the anti-social traffic control system which puts us at odds with each other and our surroundings. System reform, above all replacing priority with equality, will create a level playing-field and enable all road-users to coexist in peace.

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Education not enforcement; context not numbers

Stricter enforcement is on the cards for certain motoring offences, particularly driving fast (story here). Ironically, “Drivers who drive faster than average have the lowest accident rates yet they are the primary target of speed enforcement,” writes US researcher, Chad Dornsife, of the BHSPI (Best Highway Safety Practices Institute). At the risk of repetition, who is the better judge of appropriate speed – you and me at the time and the place, or limits fixed by absent regulators? Supporters of driving by numbers would claim that driving according to context is a licence to drive carelessly. No, it’s a blueprint for driving with true care and attention. On busy streets when vulnerable road-users, especially children are around, let us proceed at walking pace. On the open road, let us choose our own speed based on social context. Change the law to make drivers automatically liable for accidents with a vulnerable road-user unless they can prove a reckless act. Re-design streets and roads to express a social context. Expand and strengthen the first driving test. Re-educate middle-lane blockers who waste half our motorway capacity and indirectly cause pile-ups.

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Good cuts and bad

Studies by the Joseph Rowntree Foundation and the TUC predict that by 2016-17, the cumulative cost of public service cuts for the poorest tenth of households will be £3,995 – or 31.7% of their average annual income (Heather Stewart in The Observer). George Osborne is proposing welfare cuts of £10bn and police cuts of £3bn. My proposals for traffic system reform, of benefit to everyone except the purveyors of counterproductive traffic control, predict sustainable efficiency savings approaching £80bn a year. Is anyone listening? If anyone is interested, this short 2010 piece outlines the proposal (politically I’m unaffiliated). Since then I have been digging deeper for an upcoming piece for Economic Affairs (the journal of the IEA).

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How safe are Britain’s roads (Part 2)?

In answer to one of the programme’s opening questions, of course UK accident rates are unacceptable, but in misidentifying driver error as the primary cause, it wasted an hour of precious airtime in simplistic wisdom. “So if we are the problem,” asked Justin Rowlatt, scurrying off on a false assumption, “is technology the answer?” No. Until you address the root cause – the priority system which makes roads dangerous in the first place –  you’re wasting time, and reinforcing a defective system. The purveyors of technology, beloved of this programme, now want to mitigate manufactured danger by automating driving and removing the human element, ironically our greatest resource.

The programme kicked off by looking at the illegal use of mobile phones. If mobiles are banned because they take our eyes off the road, should traffic lights, speed cameras and speed limits be banned for the same reason? The programme didn’t ask. It showed the police spying on drivers from unmarked trucks, and nabbing anyone using a mobile, while ignoring middle-lane blockers who waste half our motorway capacity and indirectly cause pile-ups.

Used in accident investigations, STATS19 is a 6-point checklist for factors contributing to accidents. These include poor road surfaces and mobile phone use. The most common factor is “failed to look properly”. Still no word about priority, the root cause of dangerous conflict.

They revisited the subject of reckless young male drivers. Graduated licences favoured by the ABI aren’t a bad idea, but wouldn’t it be better to make roads safe in the first place, by designing them for equality and appropriate speed, and phasing in an advanced test (to include virtual and real experience, and cycling proficiency)?

There was an interesting bit about accident responsibility – under-20s are 12 times more likely to be at fault, over-75s seven times more likely. But again they failed to consider the role of priority in setting the stage for dangerous conflict. An 80 year-old driver said he was fine with left-hand turns but feared right-hand ones. He is right to fear them. They are intrinsically dangerous; the right-turner has to contend with more than one source of conflict. The Road Safety Good Practices Guide advises minimising conflict points, but traffic control does the opposite. Ludicrously, before the right-turner is allowed to leave the junction, s/he has to wait for high-speed oncoming traffic to pass. How much safer would it be for everyone to filter in turn at low speeds?

Interestingly, older drivers scored better on an obstacle driving course than younger ones (though the time taken to negotiate obstacles wasn’t taken into account, so the experiment was skewed). It called into question the trend to re-test older drivers, when it would make more sense to strengthen the test for young guns. A related point: good young drivers pay higher insurance premiums to subsidise the bad. As usual, one size does not fit all.

In conclusion, they used the seat-belt myth to justify the choice of human error as the primary cause of accidents. Are we paying enough attention to the problems? they asked. On the strength of this lame analysis, they were paying too much attention to the problems, or rather the symmptoms, and not enough – none – to the underlying cause.

From my point of view, the only positive is that the field remains open for a programme that would expose the flaws in the current system and advance the revolution in theory and practice that is so scandalously overdue.

 

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20 is Plenty v Equality Streets

Today I received a 20’s Plenty for Us press release. It began, “Villagers need protection from speeding traffic.” Sometimes the obvious needs stating. I don’t disagree with 20’s Plenty’s aims – safer roads – but I disagree with their approach. I met their press officer at a conference six months ago where we both spoke. This is the gist of our exchange.

Me: No, we need culture change and roadway redesign, not legislation by numbers. I’ve just finished the Poynton film where there is no 20mph zone, yet average traffic speeds are below 20. People drive according to context and design. 20 – a limit and a target – is a sticking-plaster on the open wound caused by traffic mismanagement.

Anna: The trouble with roadway redesign is it’s so expensive and time consuming.  20mph limits are cheap as chips – they save lives cost-effectively and quickly. Agree we need a culture change.

Me: Roadway redesign need not be expensive. It can be as simple as bagging over traffic lights and painting out give-way signs. Or, as necessary, give-way markings can be added to main roads where they enter a junction, thus equalising (or eliminating) priority, and levelling the playing-field. Cheaper than manufacturing and installing signs all over the place, as if our roads weren’t already over-infested with instructional signage!

Anna: Sorry, but still can’t believe that what you are suggesting is cheaper than a few 20mph signs and traffic regulation orders. Do you have costings for a locality or per km? Limits are £1400 per km.

If required I could get specific costings, but bagging over lights and painting out or painting in give-way markings is not a costly exercise. More important than financial cost, though, is the social cost. 20 represents an expansion of the negative role of coercion and enforcement. Equality Streets represents a culture of empathy, equality and responsibility.

Chichester and Birmingham are the latest places to agree 20mph limits. Who has recently done wide-scale Equality Streets?

Poynton is the only place I know that has adopted shared space/Equality Streets at a major junction without restricting traffic. While I recognise your ingenuity and success in spreading your gospel, 20 is a lower mountain to climb, with a simple message that slots into the coercive mindset of traffic authorities. I see Equality Streets as a more worthwhile peak to scale. Given widespread buy-in, most of our congestion and road safety problems would vanish in a puff of exhaust smoke.

Advantage 20 is Plenty. Why? They have organisation, funding, and a paid press officer.

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Asserting equality

Striding across a car park today, I saw a car approaching to my left, and a group of people on the other side of the lane waiting for it to pass. Practising what I preach – that road-users should take it in turns, and people on wheels should defer to people on foot – I kept on striding, which made the car slow down to let me pass, which of course it should have done in the first place. Both driver and passenger shook their heads, no doubt thinking, doesn’t that pillock know the rules of the road? You mean the rules that put the onus on children to beware motorists when it could and should be the other way round? A pox on those rules. Will my action make those wheeled merchants think again? I doubt it.

 

 

 

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What has Barenboim got to do with it?

“To have real knowledge,” says Daniel Barenboim (Q+A, today’s Guardian Magazine), “one must understand the essence of things and not only their manifestations”. This is clearly beyond traffic managers, who treat the symptoms, never the underlying cause of our problems on the road.

 

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Dumbing dunn? (How safe are Britain’s roads? Part 1)

On 31 October, the BBC aired the first of a two-parter about road safety. It skated over the subject of shared space, implying it was lunatic fringe stuff. The presenters were much more excited by technological “solutions”.

They prefaced the myth about seat-belts (exposed by John Adams here), by saying, “It is estimated that 60,000 lives have been saved …”, but they did nothing to challenge it. Co-presenter, Anita Rani: “A third of people killed last year weren’t wearing belts”. So what? What about the other two-thirds? There was no attempt at closer analysis.

It was not surprising to see Frank McKenna dodging Anita’s question, “Do speed cameras really work?” His reply was in terms of compliance alone. The Cheshire East Council official (Rod Menlove? named but not captioned) blamed lack of money for his dangerous roads, and co-presenter, Justin Rowlatt, failed to challenge him. What has Menlove been doing with the public dosh sloshing around in the five decades prior to this recession? Cllr Michael Jones also blamed lack of money for road improvements. (How many traffic lights would they buy if they did get the £40m that Stephen Hammond, government minister for road safety, isn’t about to dish out?)

They told us the DfT values a road death at £1.7m and a serious injury at £190,000 (arguably, a serious injury involves greater expense, e.g. a lifetime on life support). They said the cost of accidents in 2011 was £15.6bn. If they had read further down the DfT report, they would have seen the £15.6bn figure didn’t allow for accidents not reported to the police. Including those, the total value of prevention of road accidents is £34.8 billion.

The trail for next week’s programme said “90% of accidents involve human error”. No mention of the priority rule which makes roads dangerous in the first place. I noticed the producer/director was Lisa Dunn. Is it a case of dumbing dunn? I also noticed the exec producer was Lucy Hetherington, who turned down my programme pitch eight or nine years ago. If I sound twitter and bisted, I probably am. My next pitch – for a series that will accuse the authorities of negligence, and show how roads can be made organically safe rather than inherently dangerous – will be at least the 12th in recent years.

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The streets of NYC

New York Mayor, Michael Bloomberg, says cyclists and pedestrians are “more important” than motorists. Not quite. Equality – among ALL road-users – is the solution to most of our problems on the road. It’s absurd that people on foot should defer to drivers, especially in urban settings. If anything it should be the other way round. If we took it in turns, instead of living (and dying) by priority, most of our road safety and congestion problems would vanish in a puff of exhaust smoke.” Thanks to Alex Smith for sending the link.

 

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Stating the obvious

You’ll be pleased to hear the Department for Transport has published a new Research report, Operation of Traffic Signals during Low Demand (4 Oct 2012). I’ll quote and comment as we go along.

“Traffic signal design is a science that has been developed through decades to a point where the maximum efficiency can be squeezed out of the most congested of junctions. Conflicting needs of all road users are measured, evaluated and optimised such that the ever-increasing and varying demands continue to be managed with ingenuity and perfection.” Note the self-congratulation over a questionable claim.

“But roads aren’t always busy.” Get outa here! “In many cases the very justification for signal control is based on a problem that may only exist for a couple of hours each weekday. Even the most congested networks have their quiet moment, yet, in a deserted city at 3 in the morning, signals still cycle for non-existent traffic. Any driver who ventures into this scenario may sit in frustration at a red light while the ‘intelligent’ control system optimises the signals for phantom conflicting demands.” How come the DfT, which gets £12bn a year of public money, has only just become aware of this?

“In other countries various techniques are applied to ‘demote’ signalised junctions to priority mode of operation, for example the flashing amber on main road/flashing red on minor road employed in some States of the USA, or signals that simply turn off overnight as in parts of Europe.” I noticed this when I was in Europe in my teens. It’s taken the experts half a century to wise up! Meanwhile, how many man-hours of needless delay and  how many tons of avoidable greenhouse and health-damaging gases have we suffered at the hands of the experts?

On the subject of policy, this wordy passage is ultimately revealing: “… there are opportunities for embracing developing technologies and making minor changes to installation parameters that could reduce installation and maintenance costs and improve the efficiency of LD methods of operation that retain signal control and its intrinsic safety compared with priority operation.”

No mention of no-priority or equal priority! DfT thinking is stuck inside the leprous box marked “priority”. These people really think the choice is only between priority and signal control! You don’t believe me, do you? Well, here is the publication.

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